As the Fed's interest rate decision in September approaches, the market's expectations for a rate cut continue to exist, but opinions are fluctuating. Although the likelihood of a rate cut is high, it is not certain. Recently, some Fed officials have indicated that they are in no rush to cut rates, leading to a strong market reaction to the news.

Tonight, Fed Chairman Powell will deliver a speech at the central bank's annual meeting, which may release important policy signals. However, the final direction of policy will still need to wait for the economic data at the end of the month and the non-farm payroll report in early September. The actual interest rate decision will be announced at 2 AM on September 18. Before that, the market is likely to maintain a wide range of fluctuations.

Regarding the relationship between interest rate cuts and market trends, if a rate cut begins in September, it is expected to be a moderate adjustment of 25 basis points. The first announcement of a rate cut usually brings the strongest market stimulus and may push the market to reach a temporary high. A second rate cut may also bring another wave of increase, but the strength may not be as strong as the first time.

Interestingly, if there is no rate cut in September, it may actually be more beneficial for the market — this could mean that the upward trend will continue until the end of the year or even early next year. In other words, regardless of the decision in September, market opportunities will continue to emerge until the interest rate policy becomes clear.

For investors, seizing one wave of market trends could lead to substantial profits from this round of increase. In this uncertain market environment, it is particularly important to pay timely attention to the latest trends and data analysis, which will help investors make informed decisions in the complex financial markets.