Could HBAR’s Weekly Rebound Trigger a 40% Rally? Three Key Factors Say Yes

Hedera (HBAR) has been showing bullish momentum in recent days, with analysts pointing to the possibility of a significant breakout. At the time of writing, HBAR was trading around $0.236, up 10.6% over the past week. While still down 3.7% over the past month, its three-month gains of over 53% highlight a firmly positive trend.

Whales accumulate, RSI confirms strength One of the strongest signals comes from large HBAR holders. Between September 6 and 11:

🔹 The number of addresses holding more than 10 million HBAR increased from 117.76 to 119.54, adding at least 18 million tokens

🔹 The number of addresses with 100 million or more HBAR rose from 34.06 to 35.16 – an increase of at least 110 million tokens

🔹 In total, whales accumulated more than 128 million HBAR, worth over $30 million This accumulation coincided with a key reversal in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Since July, RSI had been making lower lows while HBAR’s price made higher lows – a hidden bullish divergence. This pattern confirmed in early September, as RSI turned upward and whales began significantly increasing their holdings.

As a result, HBAR moved toward the upper boundary of a falling wedge, a chart pattern that often resolves with a strong breakout.

Chart points to a potential 40% move The falling wedge now in focus suggests that a breakout could push the price up to $0.344, representing nearly a 40% gain from current levels. For this bullish scenario to hold, HBAR must clear several key levels step by step:

🔹 $0.238 – first confirmation of a breakout

🔹 $0.246 – first major resistance

🔹 $0.268 and $0.304 – swing high levels, a breakout above them would open the door to the full measured move

On the downside, if HBAR falls below $0.232, the bullish structure would weaken. A deeper drop under $0.210 would invalidate the wedge entirely, shifting the outlook back to caution.

Summary Backed by whale accumulation and confirmation of hidden bullish divergence, HBAR is positioned on the edge of a potential breakout. If the token can sustain momentum and break through resistance levels, it could climb another 40% in the coming weeks. Traders are watching closely to see if the bullish setup holds and paves the way toward $0.344.

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