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Bitcoin whales are showing renewed activity, as on-chain balances have risen sharply. A BTC weekly close above $88,500 would represent a pivotal price trigger and may set the stage for the next bullish trend. This report provides an in-depth analysis of the latest on-chain data and technical indicators.
Realized price is an important metric in on-chain analysis, reflecting the average cost basis of all network participants. When the token price drops below this threshold, most investors hold at a loss. This typically results in greater selling pressure and increased market fear.
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In early November 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $100,000, reaching a four-month low. Analysts identify multiple signals indicating that BTC could fall further to the $88,000–$95,000 range. This article explores the factors behind the decline, critical support levels, and the market outlook.
Gate Research Monthly Review: The crypto market performed weakly in August. Bitcoin plummeted from $66,000 to $49,000, then rallied to $64,000 by month's end before pulling back. Global financial markets saw intense volatility due to macroeconomic factors, pushing BTC futures liquidations to a yearly peak. BTC and ETH ETFs both experienced net outflows, while blockchain network activity ramped up—notably, Aptos' trading volume skyrocketed. The DeFi sector weathered multiple security breaches, incurring losses over $5.28 million. On the funding front, 88 projects secured financing totaling $80 million, with CeFi and DeFi emerging as standout sectors.