Recently reviewing my trading records, I suddenly realized that from the initial 50,000 yuan test water to now having a stable eight-figure account, the pitfalls I've stepped on along the way are more worth talking about than the money I've made. The market won't give you money just because you're bold. I've seen friends staring at the screen at 2 a.m., their accounts dropping from 600,000 to less than 10,000. Every time they say, "This time I must break even," but the more anxious they get, the more they lose. What's the problem? They never understood whether they were following the trend or fighting against it. Short-term trading is essentially a game of probabilities. When the market shows a clear direction, you need to dare to follow; during sideways consolidation, you must hold back and not act. Many people do the opposite—hesitating when they should act, and going all-in when they should stay out. I used to do the same—blow up my positions, clear my holdings—but I later realized one thing: when you don't understand the market, staying in cash and waiting is a hundred times better than reckless trading. For example, last year, a certain coin traded within a narrow range for three days, with a volatility of less than 3%. Many people in the group shouted, "It's about to break out," but when I saw the volume increase and confirmed the trend on the fourth day, I entered the market. I missed out on about 10% of potential gains, but I secured a steady 30% increase afterward. That's the value of a trend—it won't let you catch the bottom, but it helps you avoid 90% of useless fluctuations. Of course, execution is also crucial. Stop-loss levels must be set in advance; once hit, cut immediately—no hesitation. My current rule is that a single loss should not exceed 2% of the total position, and profit targets should be at least three times the stop-loss. It sounds conservative, but this set of rules has helped me avoid countless black swan events. In short, making money in crypto isn't about luck or insider information. The market is always here, opportunities are always available, and what’s truly scarce is the ability to stay clear-headed amid panic and greed. Before understanding the trend, it's better to miss out than to act recklessly—this is a lesson I learned with real money.

#ETH走势分析 After hesitating for several days, I've decided to write down my true feelings about short-term trading over the years. From the initial investment of 50,000 to now having a stable account in the eight figures, only I know the struggles I've gone through in between. What others see is the growth in numbers, but I remember the moments when I almost lost everything several times. If I had only relied on passion and gut feeling to operate blindly back then, I would probably have been taught a lesson by the market long ago. Many friends around me have walked the same path—account balances skyrocketed not long ago, and they couldn't help but show off to everyone; shortly after, it returned to square one, with hundreds of thousands shrinking to just a few thousand. Every time I meet them, they say, "When the next wave of market comes, we'll break even," but to be honest, if they haven't even figured out the direction, how can they possibly turn things around? Short-term trading is never about who is quicker or bolder. Simply put, it comes down to two things: understanding the trend clearly and then executing it firmly. Follow the trend when it's clear, and stay put when the market is chaotic. It's better to miss ten opportunities than to touch a market you don't understand even once. The reason most people lose money is simple— they can't tell the difference between consolidation and trend, and they choose to gamble when they should be watching. I can crawl back from the brink of liquidation, and it's definitely not due to any talent or luck. It's more about that stubbornness of persevering to the end—first, understand the market logic, then decide whether to act. Before fully understanding the trend, holding cash is actually the strongest defense strategy. Because every impulsive order could very well be the last appearance of the principal. This market is never short of opportunities; the market changes every day. What is truly scarce are those who can remain calm amidst the volatility. Finally, a word for friends who are still exploring: when you can't understand the trend, staying in cash is your bottom line; when you truly understand it, the money will naturally follow. $XRP $BTC $ETH