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The non-farm payroll data to be released tonight at 20:30 is not only an important economic indicator but may also become a key factor influencing the Fed's subsequent policy decisions.
Analysts suggest that investors should focus on the following aspects:
First, closely monitor the differences between actual data and market expectations, as this is often a key trigger for market reactions.
Secondly, closely monitor the comments from Fed officials and the White House after the data is released, as these remarks may provide additional policy guidance for the market.
Finally, investors need to be cautious of the potential increase in market volatility. In particular, the possible interconnections between the foreign exchange market, the U.S. stock market, and the cryptocurrency market may lead to increased risk in individual markets due to this cross-market volatility transmission.
Regardless of the results of tonight's non-farm payroll data, it is likely to become an important turning point in shaping the macroeconomic trading logic for the second half of 2024. In the current complex global economic environment, the impact of a single piece of data may be amplified, subsequently affecting the pricing and investment strategies of multiple asset classes.
Therefore, investors need to remain vigilant and adjust their portfolios at any time to cope with potential market volatility. At the same time, this may also present new opportunities for insightful traders. While paying attention to short-term market reactions, do not overlook the indicative role of this data on medium- to long-term economic trends.
I'm entering observation mode now, waiting for the storm to come.