RenderCon 2026 to Be Held on April 16-17

Go all-in long on the entire position, this post is proof! Target around 6 USDT

Current support and resistance levels: $ETH

#BuyTheDipOrWaitNow? Buy the Dip or Wait Now? — Bitcoin at ~$69,500–$70K As of mid-February 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $69,500–$70,000, recovering from an early-February drop below $65K caused by heavy liquidations (~$8B+). The rebound of ~5–6% over 48–72 hours is fueled by macro relief, institutional dip-buying, and market positioning rebuilding. BTC remains ~45% below its October 2025 peak near $126K, in a post-bull correction phase. 1. Why the Dip Happened: Profit-taking after late-2025 highs Leveraged positions unwinding, deeply negative funding rates ETF outflows (~$620–$800M+) Correlated tech/equity weakness (Nasdaq, growth stocks) Macro concerns (Fed signals, Treasury yields, USD strength) 2. Why BTC Rebounded: Cooler January CPI: headline 2.4%, core 2.5% Real yields softened, USD eased Funding rates turned positive, weak hands flushed Institutional dip-buying resumed Market sentiment reset from extreme fear to neutral 3. Key Support & Resistance Levels: Support: $68K–$69K critical; $65K–$66K mid-tier; $60K–$62K deeper recovery; $55K–$58K extreme oversold Resistance: $70K–$72K immediate; $72K–$74K momentum trigger; $76K–$78K next expansion; $80K–$85K longer-term breakout 4. Market Signals & On-Chain Data: MVRV Z-Score ~1.1–1.2 → historically aligned with recovery Long-term holders remain strong, short-term holders capitulated ETF flows absorbing supply Whale accumulation visible, exchange reserves slightly down 5. Scenarios: Base Case (50–60% probability): Range $68K–$72K, mild bullish tilt if support holds Bull Case (25–35% probability): Hold $69K–$70K → trigger $74K → momentum to $80K+, catalysts include ETF inflows, positive macro, regulatory clarity Bear Case (15–25% probability): Fail $68K → retest $60K–$65K, extreme down to $50K if macro worsens 6. Trading Strategies: Aggressive Buyer: Buy selectively at $69K–$70K, scale in on dips $65K–$68K Patient Waiter: Wait for flush to $60K–$65K cluster, lower risk, higher reward Hybrid/DCA: Tranche buys — some now, some on pullback, some on breakout above $74K Volatility Trader: Range-bound plays, options strangles, or hedge strategies 7. Final Take: The $69,500–$70K zone is a decision point, not a safe zone. Macro relief, institutional buying, and flushed leverage create a foundation for potential upside, but volatility remains high. Breaks above $72K with strong volume may open expansion toward $80K–$85K. Failure of key supports risks deeper tests, but history favors recovery. 8. My Bias (Mid-Feb 2026): Mildly constructive. Selective accumulation makes sense for long-term holders. Full aggression should wait for confirmation. Patience in volatility + conviction on support holds/breaks is key. 9. Key Questions for Traders: Are you an aggressive dip buyer? Waiting for a $65K flush? Layering DCA purchases? Or holding cash and watching? 10. Bottom Line: Bitcoin is volatile but opportunity-rich in the $69,500–$70K range. Smart positioning, support monitoring, and macro awareness will decide your success.

$PIPPIN Precise positioning.

#PIPPIN 很好